Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.003497 0.003900 0.004320 0.004789 0.005298 0.005833 0.006435
2024-10-13 0.002963 0.003545 0.004185 0.004936 0.005791 0.006729 0.007834
2024-10-20 0.002491 0.003145 0.003893 0.004804 0.005877 0.007093 0.008568
2024-10-27 0.002189 0.002894 0.003727 0.004775 0.006043 0.007518 0.009349
2024-11-03 0.001926 0.002656 0.003547 0.004698 0.006128 0.007827 0.009981
2024-11-10 0.001735 0.002488 0.003432 0.004683 0.006271 0.008197 0.010680
2024-11-17 0.001561 0.002323 0.003306 0.004638 0.006366 0.008497 0.011291
2024-11-24 0.001468 0.002258 0.003300 0.004740 0.006641 0.009022 0.012185
2024-12-01 0.001308 0.002086 0.003140 0.004628 0.006629 0.009177 0.012610
2024-12-08 0.001203 0.001982 0.003063 0.004619 0.006746 0.009493 0.013241
2024-12-15 0.001167 0.001976 0.003118 0.004789 0.007103 0.010126 0.014290
2024-12-22 0.001102 0.001921 0.003101 0.004855 0.007320 0.010575 0.015106
2024-12-29 0.001060 0.001900 0.003133 0.004996 0.007647 0.011188 0.016162
2025-01-05 0.001024 0.001885 0.003173 0.005148 0.007994 0.011834 0.017277
2025-01-12 0.000915 0.001746 0.003020 0.005011 0.007927 0.011915 0.017631
2025-01-19 0.000843 0.001661 0.002943 0.004981 0.008008 0.012195 0.018255
2025-01-26 0.000766 0.001562 0.002837 0.004901 0.008012 0.012366 0.018730
2025-02-02 0.000710 0.001494 0.002776 0.004886 0.008107 0.012662 0.019380
2025-02-09 0.000653 0.001419 0.002699 0.004840 0.008153 0.012888 0.019933
2025-02-16 0.000629 0.001403 0.002718 0.004945 0.008426 0.013442 0.020955
2025-02-23 0.000567 0.001310 0.002602 0.004829 0.008359 0.013502 0.021277
2025-03-02 0.000528 0.001258 0.002553 0.004819 0.008454 0.013796 0.021934
2025-03-09 0.000523 0.001271 0.002617 0.004995 0.008838 0.014521 0.023221